Association of blood pressure with cardiovascular outcome and mortality: results from the KNOW-CKD study

Background. Optimal blood pressure (BP) control is a major therapeutic strategy to reduce adverse cardiovascular events (CVEs) and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We studied the association of BP with adverse cardiovascular outcome and all-cause death in patients with CKD. Methods. Among 2238 participants from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients With CKD (KNOW-CKD), 2226 patients with baseline BP measurements were enrolled. The main predictor was systolic BP (SBP) categorized by five levels: <110, 110–119, 120–129, 130–139 and ≥140 mmHg. The primary endpoint was a composite outcome of all-cause death or incident CVEs. We primarily used marginal structural models (MSMs) using averaged and the most recent time-updated SBPs. Results. During the follow-up of 10 233.79 person-years (median 4.60 years), the primary composite outcome occurred in 240 (10.8%) participants, with a corresponding incidence rate of 23.5 [95% confidence interval (CI) 20.7–26.6]/1000 patient-years. MSMs with averaged SBP showed a U-shaped relationship with the primary outcome. Compared with time-updated SBP of 110–119 mmHg, hazard ratios (95% CI) for <110, 120–129, 130–139 and ≥140 mmHg were 2.47 (1.48–4.11), 1.29 (0.80–2.08), 2.15 (1.26–3.69) and 2.19 (1.19–4.01), respectively. MSMs with the most recent SBP also showed similar findings. Conclusions. In Korean patients with CKD, there was a U-shaped association of SBP with the risk of adverse clinical outcomes. Our findings highlight the importance of BP control and suggest a potential hazard of SBP <110 mmHg.