TY - JOUR
T1 - Counterthreat of attack to deter aggression
AU - Kim, Jin Yeub
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 Elsevier B.V.
Copyright:
Copyright 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2018/6
Y1 - 2018/6
N2 - A crisis begins when a potential aggressor makes a threat of attack against a target state, creating a stalemate. The potential aggressor's military technology improves over time, but its true military capability or intention is unknown. I show that the more sensitive the target state is to the danger of potential aggression, the greater the chance that the potential aggressor backs down and the lesser the risk of war. By committing to attacking sooner, the target state can increase security from aggression. My analysis provides a security rationale for counterthreatening to attack to prevent the realization of an aggressor attack.
AB - A crisis begins when a potential aggressor makes a threat of attack against a target state, creating a stalemate. The potential aggressor's military technology improves over time, but its true military capability or intention is unknown. I show that the more sensitive the target state is to the danger of potential aggression, the greater the chance that the potential aggressor backs down and the lesser the risk of war. By committing to attacking sooner, the target state can increase security from aggression. My analysis provides a security rationale for counterthreatening to attack to prevent the realization of an aggressor attack.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85044598867&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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U2 - 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.03.003
DO - 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.03.003
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85044598867
VL - 167
SP - 112
EP - 114
JO - Economics Letters
JF - Economics Letters
SN - 0165-1765
ER -