Despite frequent reports of work delays in renovation projects due to inherent characteristics, such as difficulties in diagnosing the status of existing buildings, studies addressing this issue are lacking. Therefore, this study aims to develop a new method to predict the delay probabilities of renovations according to the attributes of the renovation projects. To achieve this objective, with focus on the inherent factors of renovation projects, two core concepts are established: (1) risk probability according to project attribute; and (2) delay probability for renovation depending on risk probability. By performing case studies on four actual projects, the probabilities of risk factors for each project were confirmed based on project attributes; furthermore, delay probabilities for the renovations of each project were accurately estimated. Thus, this research is expected to assist real estate investors in selecting potential buildings for investment by considering inherent risk factors and delay probabilities owing to renovations.
|Journal||Journal of Management in Engineering|
|Publication status||Published - 2020 Mar 1|
Bibliographical noteFunding Information:
This research was supported by the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education, Science, and Technology (No. 2017R1DIA3B03029277).
© 2019 American Society of Civil Engineers.
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Industrial relations
- Strategy and Management
- Management Science and Operations Research